and a bit from 2015: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10145982
Bill Joy’s Law: 2^(Year-1984) Million Instructions per Second
>The peak computer speed doubles each year and thus is given by a simple function of time. Specifically, S = 2^(Year-1984), in which S is the peak computer speed attained during each year, expressed in MIPS. -Wikipedia, Joy’s law (computing)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joy%27s_law_(computing)
>Introduction
>These are some highlights from a prescient talk by Bill Joy in February of 1991.
>“It’s vintage wnj. When assessing wnj-speak, remember Eric Schmidt’s comment that Bill is almost always qualitatively right, but the time scale is sometimes wrong.” -David Hough